Saturday, January 26, 2008

Protectionism

200 over years ago....or less...anyway, here's how the story goes:

US ship commander: "You Japanese, I demand that you open trades with us. You have much to gain and I have much to gain. It's a win-win situation. Being protectionist is no good, and I have my economists to prove you wrong."

Japanese shougun: No, you white monkey! I know your intention. You want to invade our national security and colonize us as what the other white monkeys have done to other asian countries!"

US ship commander: "You fool! It is unwise to go against our big modern cannons and guns. Surrender!"

Japanese shougun:"Nonoooooo...!"

And the rest, is history. Similar occurrences includes the British-China Opium war. Japan became a semi-colonized country, modernized itself, and began a series of horrific imperialistic expansionist war in Asia. Turning back the clock to year end 2007/ start 2008.

Asian/Middle East investors:"Dear americans and europeans, I see that you have much trouble in your sub-prime issue lately. Let us offer our friendly help to you poor white monkeys."

Americans/European battled bankers:"Oh yes please i beg you, help us!"

Other Americans (like, say Hillary Clinton?)/Europeans:"No! These sovereign funds are only out to purchase our nice bank stocks on the cheap! It's an infringement on our national security! Boycott these asian/middle eastern investors!"

Asian/Middle East investors:"Oh no no. We are most kind. We won't interfere in anything. We are just passive investors who wants to invest in a good stock."

Other Americans (like, say Hilary Clinton?)/Europeans:"Boycott! Reject! Protectionism rules!"

Americans/European battled bankers:"Noooooooo...!" (and they fight out with their own countrymen.)

It's funny how things turn out. Even some american/european economists wants to retain their banks' sovereignty by saying no to outside investments. Well, if the west do not welcome investments, there's always China and India to turn to. I'm sure the Chinese and Indian politicians won't mind it at all. Although protectionism is never a good thing (since it will just generate more dead-weight loss and decrease social benefits), people play on their emotion (and thus nationalism) more than anything else.

Take the recent roller coaster ride of the stock market. Anyone knows it's irrational. And yet, hordes of people sell when prices are dropping (and buy when the market was so bullish a couple of months ago. In other words, stock prices aren't cheap then). Ok, maybe those that went into 'margin call mode' doesn't really have much choice but to sell their remaining stock, but then, it's their bets. Whatever happen to the basic investment principle of 'buy low sell high'? It's more of 'buy high sell low' if you ask me.


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